Tamil Nadu Emu Scams and its aftermath

 

In continuation with my last post Shake-up in Tamil Nadu, I am going to analyze some of the outcomes of this episode, created by Susi Emu Farms, and KG Bright, etc.

There are 36,000 farmers, with an average investment of Rs.1,50,000/-, have been duped as per the Government of Tamil Nadu reports. The scam amount is very high, approximately, Rs.600 Crores. The largest ever in India in the history of Agricultural Commercial Sector.

Mr. Guru, MD of Susi Emu Farms

 
These events are currently happening in Tamil Nadu:

1. The feed for the birds is supposedly to be provided by the Contracting companies. These    companies has folded up, and No feed is received by Farmer. Farmers, as they used to grow animals in their backyard, couldn't tolerate the hunger of Emu birds. They are spending from their own pocket. The cost of feed is Rs.20/Kg per bird per day, which is unsustainable for a Farmer.
2. Farmers wanted to cash-out their Emu birds, since they are left with that as their only collateral against this scam. Everyone wants to sell, which we see the prices for Emu Birds are crashing like anything. An Adult Emu bird of 18 months is now available really cheap.
3. Many farmers unable to find buyers to sell the birds, they are slaughtering the birds for big functions like Marriages, festivals, etc. This trend has already started in Erode, Salem and Tirunelveli Districts. Again, the birds are sold at far cheaper price than imaginable.
4. Government of Tamil Nadu, has announced that it will feed the birds until they are grown up, and will sell to encash and return the deposits to Farmers. Government is selling Emus..???? Strange..!!!

The repercussions are:

• Price of Adult Emu Bird will continue to crash.

•  The price of Emu chicks will be unimaginably cheaper, this season.

•  Many hatcheries may not be functioning this time, hence, thousands of Eggs are going to be available at a far cheaper price.

•  Emu Meat will be popularised, as it is going to be available at a cheaper cost to common public.

After reading upto this, are you optimistic or pessimistic about emu farming?

YOU NEED TO BE OPTIMISTIC. Why?

• If you want to set up the Emu Farm, this is the good period to buy Adult Emu birds with cheapest initial investment. Buy 18-month birds or less, hence, you wouldn't have to face the issue of handling the eggs this season.

• If you have more funds, you can set-up hatcheries, and buy up Eggs in the market at cheaper price. I forecast the cost of chicks will come down this time heavily, hence, you might have to keep all your hatched emu chicks for future use (Meat Industry). Feeding them for atleast one year is going to cost a good amount of money.

• Emu Meat is now widely consumed, as it is cheaper than Mutton and Beef. Once people accustomed to it, and taste buds are happy, you have good times ahead. A whole new segment of Meat Market is going to be open.

Time and again, I have strongly advocated about the survival of Emu industry is relied only on Emu Meat and its Oil. This is becoming a reality now.

Be clear that, this year is a shake-up period for Emu Industry. Only strong players will remain hang on to the sport. Weak players will fall off sideways. The Industry will start flourishing from the next season onwards, because of strong demand for Emu Meat and its Oil. Hold tight...!!!

The recent spate of scam claims in Tamil Nadu

There are recent newspaper reports stating that one company from Gopichettipalayam has duped hundreds of farmers with Rs. 14 Crores. People behind the company has disappeared, and Police is investigating the case now.

The reports are attached here (thanks to Junior Vikatan and Pasumai Vikatan Magazines):

There was another report, in a leading Agricultural Magazine, Pasumai Vikatan, which is as follows:

The advertisements, which caused many people to flock into these bogus farms, are interestingly offering exhorbitant incomes. The advertisements (thanks to Daily Thanthi) listed below are all found in one Leading Tamil Daily, Daily Thanthi, on the same day, Sunday.

One company offers even Cars and Bikes as a promotional gifts for the customers. People are often get confused that is there such money in this business.

As we have discussed earlier in several blogs, these are just selling dreams, and creating a black hole, where money legally ends at and dried up.

If there are more than 5 companies does that, there will be a crash in the Emu Prices, which will see a big shake-up in the Emu Market. It will take atleast few years to recover. When it recovers, only handful of big companies will remain, and they will be the real winners, and real Emu Farm Companies.

Contract Emu Farming - Some Warnings

Recently some distasteful news in the Media about Emu Business from Maharashtra, which was disheartening. 

There are two sides to a coin. One side is the people who simply ready to be duped with tons of ignorance and Money, and the Other side is the People who design their schemes such that most appealing to a common man to part with his Money and Confidence. This applies to Finance Companies to Forex Companies, and Emu Business is not an exception to this White-Collar Crime.

Before someone new to this industry end-up in a similar scam, there are some valid points to look for before investing in Emu Schemes, whether it is Contract Emu Farming or MLM-type Schemes. We will be seeing them here.

In any Business, there has to be a product. In Emu Business, Meat & Oil are the products (Eggs are only for reproduction and is not a product). These are the two main reasons for which, Emus have to be culled. Culling for reasonable economic values is the essential key to this Business. If there is no culling and no regeneration, the cycle never completes. 

Before you invest and Sign a contract with a Contract Emu Farming Company, please look into the following aspects.

I put them into pointers:

• In an Emu Contract Farming Business - Check whether they have processing plants to produce Meat and Oil. Emu Processing Unit (EPU), as they are called, are setup to cull birds hygienically, and cut meat as required by Market. If the Emu Contract Farming Company does not have EPU and proper Marketing Arrangements to market the meat, do not invest your money with them.

•  If the Emu Contract Farming Business offers you more than Rs.350/- per month per bird, double check their past history, and also check whether they already have the EPU. It might be possible that they need more birds for their busy EPU, so they offer higher premium. If not, they are luring you and your money, because it is simply not viable to run at this cost for long-term.  This also applies to giving Gold Coins as an Incentive to join. Simply, doubt them.

• If the Emu Contract Farming Business is based on the Multi-Level-Marketing mode, never involve into this. You will earn only bad reputation for yourself, because you are false-promising many people into that.  Stay away from these kind of schemes.

With the advent of few big names in the industry doing Emu Contract Farming in large scale has raised concerns for many. Because the amount involved is running into Crores of Rupees. The tipping point for this industry will flower once the Emu Meat is well liked by the end-users. For that to happen, Emu Meat must be freely available on the market first.

Emu business will sustain and grow only when there is a usage, that means, a Market for Meat. This can be achieved only through selling its Meat for consumers and Oil for Pharmaceutical Industries. That day is not too far.

Good News on Emu Slaughtering Houses

I recently had discussion with few industry veterans about the upcoming emu slaughtering units in and around Tamil Nadu and AP. They were very positive and confident about the slaughtering business, and I noticed that they are bit worried too, for not going to get enough stocks for the Slaughtering house. This will initiate a supply/demand gap, possibly in the coming year 2011/2012.

The Good News is that, Vileena Emu (AP) will be starting their Slaughtering House in July, same goes for Jeevan Emu Farm, Dindigul (TN). In addition to these two, I understand that another few units are coming up, and I am getting more details about them. Soon, I will bring those information here.

The price offered are Rs.250/Kg live bird weight at the Slaughter House Gate. This seems to be pretty standard rate. I believe this rate will go up once the Emu Meat Market demand is picking up.

The Bright lights are started showing up in Emu Farming Industry in India. It's a good news, indeed.

Emu forecast for 2011.

I just saw an email from one of the emu enthusiasts from Andhra Pradesh. The news is interesting.

There are few big emu farmers from two different locations, formed a JV to set up a two Emu Slaughtering Units at a cost of Rs.4 Crores each. They are planning to purchase 16-18 month old bird at Rs.315 - 325/- Kg on live weight and a minimum weight for the birds is 50 Kgs. The price roughly works out to Rs.31,000/- per pair of 18 month birds. That's a very good price considering the current market rates. The plants are expected to come up live in mid-2011. Now, GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council - Saudi, UAE, Bahrai, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar) countries are the potential and easily accessible target for emu meat from India.

Also, rumors that two slaughtering houses are coming up in Tamil Nadu as well during the same period. But, In Tamil Nadu, Big-shots are trying to get the bird as cheap as possible for the slaughtering house from small farmers. This strategy is not going to work out well. Also, Plants in Tamil Nadu seems not of JV type. It seems they are going to be belong to a single farm or two only.

In an oligopolistic emu market, small farmers going to steer the market prices. Market forces will decide the price of emu. Slaughter houses used to consume several thousand birds per year. In a seasonal business entity, regular production is the key to keep the prices stable. If the supply is not managed well, the price will sky rocket, like BSE Sensex.

Currently there is a slack in end-use. If the end-use opportunity is coming via Slaughtering Unit and Oil Processing, then it is going to be the beginning of new economic Boom in India for Rural Markets. This time it is not uneducated farmers who is going to rule this agri trade, but educated, young, mid 30s to mid 40s graduates with internet in hand.

2011 is going to be really rocking and thrilling roller coaster ride for emu biz in India. Be prepared.